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Krivenik
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This is a report of the investigation into a mortar-shelling
incident that took place in Krivenik (Kosovo) close to
the border with the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia
1. The
incident killed three civilians, including a journalist
of the Associated Press (AP). During the week of the incident,
rifle, machine gun, and mortar exchanges were taking
place
between the NLA and ARM troops South of Krivenik on the
other side of the border.
- The day of the incident the NATO Secretary General spoke
with President Trajkovski who agreed to set up a Joint
Commission to review the findings of the ongoing investigations
of the
mortar explosions. This agreement was formalised in a letter
from the NATO Secretary General to President Trajkovski
the following day. The Joint Commission consisted of the
NATO Senior
Civilian Representative in Skopje and the President's National
Security Advisor.
- On 1 May 2001, NATO finalised its report on the incident,
based on investigations conducted by Kosovo Force's Multi-National
Brigade - East (KFOR MNB(E)), responsible for the sector
in which Krivenik is located. The NATO Senior Civilian Representative
discussed with his counterpart in the Joint Commission
the
findings of this report in early May 2001 and transmitted
a request for additional specific information to the authorities
in Skopje. This request was followed-up with multiple reminders
by NATO.
- Finally, the Head of the Mission of the former Yugoslav
Republic of Macedonia to NATO provided NATO a report on
the incident on behalf of the Ministry of Defence of the
former
Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia on 22 January 2003. However,
neither the information from the Ministry of Defence of
the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, nor talks with
commanders
of the former NLA have brought to light sufficient new
information allowing NATO to identify conclusive evidence
about what happened.
Following this NATO informed the authorities in Skopje
it would release its own report.
- NATO's investigation into the incident was exhaustive
and conducted by a team of experts in analysing such incidents.
Despite this the team could not pinpoint the precise location
of mortar positions, and showed that the mortar rounds
could
have been fired from either side of the border, and from
locations where both ARM and NLA forces were known or suspected
to be
operating. Evidence uncovered by the investigation is therefore
insufficient to authoritatively determine who attacked
Krivenik with indirect fire and why the attack was conducted.
- NATO has made every effort to resolve this issue but
regrets it has not received the necessary information that
would allow
it to answer the outstanding questions. The uncertainty
that remains is particularly painful for the relatives and
friends
of the victims. NATO once again sends its sincerest condolences
to them all.
1 May 2001 Findings of Fact Report: 29 March 2001 Krivenik Mortar Shelling
Incident
- Summary of Incident. On 29 March 2001, between 0900
and 1300, approximately 13 – 19 mortar rounds landed
in or near Krivenik, a small village in southeastern Kosovo,
killing
three civilians and wounding ten others. Kosovo Force (KFOR)
soldiers from Multi-National Brigade - East (MNB-E) were
in or near Krivenik during the attack and were forced to
take
evasive action from the mortar shelling. Evidence uncovered
by this investigation is insufficient to authoritatively
determine whether the Army of the Republic of Macedonia (ARM)
forces
or elements of the so-called National Liberation Army (NLA)
executed this attack.
- Krivenik
- Krivenik is a small town located in a peninsula
of Kosovo that juts into the former Yugoslav Republic
of Macedonia
at the southern tip of KFOR MNB-E’s sector at map
grid EM 2363. It lies approximately 1200 meters from
the former
Yugoslav
Republic of Macedonia border; no other Kosovo towns
lie between Krivenik and the border. Krivenik has roughly
370
inhabitants
- all ethnic Albanian - living in approximately 45
homes.
- Although there are no farms in Krivenik, it is extremely
rural. There are no businesses or shops in the area.
The villagers rely heavily on personal gardens and livestock
for subsistence.
It has one mosque in good condition and a new schoolhouse
for grades 1 - 4 overlooking the northeast corner of the
village.
Krivenik has no police force; UNMIK police (UNMIK-P)
must
settle any disputes.
- ARM and NLA Forces Operating Near Krivenik during March
2001.
- ARM locations near Krivenik - Gracani axis.
- Known.
EM 229 591 - 2d Brigade Headquarters
EM 198 602 - Platoon with Small Arms
EM 203 593 - Platoon with Small Arms
EM 208 598 - Platoon with Small Arms
EM 226 600 - Platoon with Small Arms, 2 x 82mm
Mortars
EM 227 587 - Platoon with Small Arms
EM 241 588 - Platoon with Small Arms, 2 x 82mm
Mortars, 1 x T-34 Tank
EM 243 597 - Platoon with Small Arms, 1 x T-55 Tank
EM 255 603 - Platoon with Small Arms
EM 257 606 - Platoon with Small Arms
EM 245 576 - Platoon with Small Arms, 1 x 120mm / 82mm
Mortar Battery
- Suspected.
EM 2235 6020 - Observation Point
EM 2401 5910 - Mortar Firing Position
- NLA locations near Krivenik – Gracani axis.
- Known.
EM 243 597 - Gracani, Field Hospital
EM 220 620 - IVO Krivenik, platoon size camp
EM 234 607 - IVO Krivenik, company size camp and defensive
positions
EM 238 616 - IVO Krivenik, company size camp and storage
area
EM 229 591 - IVO Caska, platoon size defensive position
- Suspected.
EM 2257 6215 - IVO Krivenik, Observation Point
EM 216 600 - NLA campsite along border
EM 2443 5975 - Company defensive positions
- Chronology of Relevant Events before 29 March 2001 Mortar
Shelling.
- General. The activity south of Krivenik during the
week preceding 29 Mar 01 consisted of rifle, machine
gun, and
mortar exchanges between ARM troops and NLA personnel
along the Kosovo
border with the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia
between EM 1761 and EM 2661.
- 22 Mar 01. ARM company commander tells the MNB-E
Liaison Officer (LNO) he wants KFOR forces to interdict
NLA infiltration
routes south of Krivenik at EM 225 604 (west of Hill
802), EM 233 611 (east of Hill 802), EM 244 614 (northeast
of
Hill 838), and EM 250 625 (north of Hill 816 and south
of Hill 604).
- 23 Mar 01. ARM company commander and MNB-E LNO meet
Polish and Ukrainian Battalion (POLUKRBAT) troops at
Hill 770. POLUKRBAT
tells ARM commander they have observation posts (OPs)
at EM 224 626, EM 210 620, EM 240 642, and EM 230 650.
ARM tells
MNB-E LNO they believe groups of NLA personnel will
infiltrate from Krivenik to reinforce and resupply the
NLA in Gracani.
ARM says it will respond with mortar fire and instructs
LNO
to tell POLUKRBAT forces to stay north of the line
from EM 215 616 to EM 230 617 to EM 239 620 (approximately
500m
north
of the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia border)
to ensure the safety of POLUKRBAT patrols and OPs. LNO
delivers
message
to POLUKRBAT.
- 24 Mar 01. ARM receives heavy sniper and mortar
fire from NLA positions near the border in vicinity
of Gracani
(EM
243 597) and along the border between EM 220 683
and EM 240 613. A NLA field hospital is located in
Gracani.
POLUKRBAT
elements report multiple explosions and flares
along border and to the south into the former Yugoslav
Republic of Macedonia.
ARM tells LNO it has fired 56 mortars during the
day, to include 14 rounds fired at suspected NLA
positions
at Gracani
and Hill 802.
- 25 Mar 01. LNO briefs ARM that KFOR patrols would
be conducting sector patrols north of the border near
Krivenik
for the next
96 hours. ARM commander states his approval of this
plan and tells LNO his forces will not fire mortar or
artillery
rounds
north of the EM 606 grid line or Hill 802 (EM 235 606).
ARM repeated this promise several times, to include 28
Mar 01,
the day before the ARM offensive. Intelligence indicates
unidentified elements of the NLA intended to conduct
an attack against the
Blace Border Crossing Point (EM 251 654) and/or target
POLUKRBAT elements along the border. Small arms fire
continues along
border.
- 26 Mar 01. Small arms fire continues along the
border.
- 27 Mar 01. LNO tells ARM officer the location of
KFOR OPs in and near Krivenik. ARM officer plots locations
on
a map
and forwards them to the ARM TOC. LNO tells ARM that
POLUKRBAT will locate an OP on Hill 604 (EM 234 633).
ARM responds
to sniper fire from buildings in Gracani with small arms
and rocket-propelled
grenades (RPGs). Small arms fire continues along border.
- 27 Mar 01. POLUKRBAT Special Police Unit, a K-9
Team, and UNMIK-P conducted a cordon and search of Krivenik.
Among
other
things, they discovered an AK-47 rifle, 27 rounds of
ammunition, a bulletproof vest, and a vest with a UCK
badge.
- 1445, 27 Mar 01. A MNB-E patrol observed a group
of seven men moving south from Krivenik toward the former
Yugoslav
Republic
of Macedonia border. The patrol gave chase and caught
two of the men. These men, residents of Krivenik, claimed
they
did
not know the others and were only helping them transport
food and water.
- 28 Mar 01. Beginning at approximately 0825, ARM
begins offensive against NLA in Gracani using small arms,
armored
vehicles, tanks, and helicopters. ARM begins operations
against NLA campsite along border vicinity of EM 216
600. At 2350,
approximately 50 suspected NLA guerrillas move north
towards the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia border
with Kosovo
from the Gracani area. Their route takes them north in
the approximate direction of Krivenik. ARM again tells
LNO it
will not fire north of north-south grid line 606. Later
that day
ARM informs LNO it has “taken” Gracani.
- 2330, 28 Mar 01. POLUKRBAT OP at EM 231 624 observed
two groups of three persons with weapons moving in a
northeasterly direction and being followed by a group
of about 50 individuals.
These groups stopped at EM 234 607. At 0200 on 29 Mar
01, the
50-person group left in a southerly direction and 3
other individuals left in a northerly direction.
- Chronology of Events on 29 March 2001.
- Intelligence indicated the ARM would fire "artillery
missions" along the border in the early morning.
Known and templated NLA camps at this point were all
south of the
border in the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
- Approximately 0850. KFOR aviation helicopter crews
reported seeing 30 people with six tents and one horse
in the former
Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia at EM 234 607.
- Krivenik Strike #1. Between 0900 - 1030, 3 mortar
volleys of 2 - 3 mortar rounds each impacted south of
Krivenik
and southeast of Krivenik, and on the eastern outskirts
of the
town.
- Approximately 0905. POLUKRBAT patrol at EM 230 627
reported NLA with five artillery pieces south of their
position
at EM 233 611. They further reported the artillery pieces
were firing
south towards the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
- 0925. KFOR aviation helicopter crews reported seeing
three mortars fired from NLA positions at EM 250 598
towards the
former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia forces to the
south. The helicopter crews further reported seeing a
red jeep
carrying NLA personnel moving north from the border toward
Krivenik.
- 0950 - 1055. POLUKRBAT patrol reported seeing a
small force of 4-5 individuals at EM 230 613, approximately
500
meters
southwest of Krivenik. The POLUKRBAT soldiers received
mortar fire when they moved forward to EM 230 614 to
make contact
with the force at the firing position. The POLUKRBAT
soldiers reported hearing three sets of three bursts,
each close
to their position, as they withdrew north. The POLUKRBAT
soldiers
fell back to Krivenik. POLUKRBAT soldiers in OPs on
the outskirts of Krivenik reported 3 – 6 mortar
impacts around Krivenik, which led to the POLUKRBAT withdrawing
north
from Krivenik.
- Krivenik Strike #2.
- Between 1130 – 1145, a MNB-E convoy of 3 vehicles
and 14 personnel (12 soldiers and 2 translators ) arrived at
Krivenik as part of a previously scheduled visit. As three
local residents were showing the KFOR soldiers the craters
on the southeastern outskirts of Krivenik from that morning’s
earlier mortar strike, the KFOR personnel heard 3-4 “whoump” sounds
of a mortar firing in immediate succession. The KFOR personnel “got
down” just as a series of mortar strikes landed near
them, starting at the mosque in Krivenik and moving in a rough
line from south to southeast to east of Krivenik. They identified
these four rounds as impacting in the courtyard between the
mosque and “old” school in Krivenik, on the small
ridge to southeast of Krivenik, to the east of Krivenik just
inside the road leading into Krivenik from the east, and northeast
of Krivenik near the "new" school.
- Strike #2 injured at least two people in the
courtyard between the mosque and the “old” schoolhouse,
an Associated Press reporter seated in a civilian SUV
and the
schoolteacher for the Krivenik school, who was found
just outside of the SUV. The mortar round that struck
the courtyard
landed
at the base of the SUV parked in the courtyard.
- Krivenik Strike #3. Approximately 5 - 10 minutes
later, three more mortar rounds impacted in or near Krivenik.
Immediately after this strike the Deputy Commander for
Maneuver,
Task Force
Falcon, made radio contact with a MNB-E helicopter flying
near Krivenik and asked if its crew had seen from where
the mortars
were being fired. The helicopter crew reported it had
seen nothing.
- Krivenik Strike #4. Approximately 5 - 10 minutes
after Strike #3, more rounds impacted in or near Krivenik.
MNB-E
helicopters flying above Krivenik did not see from
where these mortar rounds were fired.
- Krivenik Strike #5. Between 1200 –1230, 2 – 3
more mortar rounds struck in or near Krivenik.
- During and Immediately After the Strikes.
- Following Strike #2, MNB-E soldiers remained
in Krivenik treating the wounded civilians and helping
them
evacuate
the village. MNB-E soldiers (POLUKRBAT) established
a checkpoint outside of Krivenik on the road leading
to
Deneral Jancowic.
- UNMIK police arrived in Krivenik at about 1330.
They were very cooperative and helped control the
growing crowd and gather evidence. TFF personnel
arrived
between
1300 – 1500
and began gathering evidence and conducting crater
analysis.
- Chronology of Relevant Events Following 29 March 2001
Mortar Shelling of Krivenik.
- a. 31 Mar 01. POLUKRBAT soldiers found an abandoned
NLA camp at EM 234 610 while searching areas south of
Krivenik.
The
30x30m camp contained 4 tents, 30 sleeping bags,
and a large cache of weapons and ammunition. POLUKRBAT
soldiers
observed
another 60x80m camp at EM 2347 6071 with 10 tents
and 8 foxholes.
- 02 Apr 01. POLUKRBAT patrol found a NLA weapons
cache at EM 238 616 while searching areas south of Krivenik.
The
site
was approximately 300 meters from the camp found on
31 MAR. It contained 86 boxes with ammunition of different
types,
8
boxes with grenades for RPG-7s and RPG-2s, 2 magazines
for machine gun PK, 112 sleeping bags, 144 blankets,
24 military raincoats, 19 vests, 8 tents and 6 German
uniforms. All
of
the equipment found was packed inside of sleeping bags
in disarray. POLUKRBAT also found 10 sacks with food
and a bag with medical
dressings and syringes. The UNHCR abbreviation was
on several sleeping bags and tents. Ammo boxes and a
beret found in
the area bore the UCK (Ushtria Clirmtare Kombetare, or
National Liberation Army) acronym.
- 04 Apr 01. While conducting a search of the terrain
south and southwest of Krivenik, members of the Krivenik
Shelling
Investigation Team discovered an apparent OP at EM
22574 62157 overlooking Krivenik from the south.
- A camouflage poncho was rolled up in the middle
of the OP. Inside of the poncho were a 7.65 mm pistol,
two rounds
of ammunition in a magazine, two pistol holsters,
two hand-held Yeasu radios, and a survival knife.
Also present
were a small
package of C4 explosive material with a blasting
cap and a
sleeping bag of the style formally used by the British
military. The poncho also contained an AK-47 bandoleer
with the letters “UCK” handwritten
three times on it. The bandoleer bore a “Tirana” manufacturer’s
mark.
- The OP was located less than 250 meters from
the mosque, 450 meters from the POLUKRBAT checkpoint
to the
east of Krivenik,
and 550 meters from the “new” school. With
a small tree cut down in the OP to improve its line
of sight,
the OP
offered good observation of half of the crater impact
sites in or near Krivenik. This OP is along the gun-target
line
of the western grouping of lines (See paragraphs 8a and
b).
- Crater and Fires Facts.
- Witness statements establish 13 – 19 mortar
rounds fell in or near Krivenik on 29 Mar 01. The KFOR
Crater
Analysis Team (CAT) located 10 mortar impact areas
in or near Krivenik
and two mortar impact sites several hundred meters
southeast of Krivenik. They retrieved seven 120mm mortar
tail fins
and numerous pieces of shrapnel and parts of fuses.
All pieces retrieved were from 120mm mortars with a maximum
range
of 5400
meters.
- ARM Mortars. The ARM has both 82mm and 120 mm mortars
of various makes in the area of interest. Most are models
of former
Warsaw Pact mortars. Fuses and ammunition are usually
Russian, Yugoslavian, Bulgarian, and Ukrainian.
- NLA Mortars. The NLA has both 82mm and 120mm mortars
in the area of interest. Arms caches discovered by KFOR
and results
from traffic control point seizures have produced 120mm
rounds in the previous months. KFOR radar tracks indicate
mortar use
in the area of interest in the past. No 120mm mortar
ammunition or equipment was found south of Krivenik during
this investigation.
- Crater and Fires Analysis.
- The CAT analysis indicates there were at least two
mortar firing points based on the back azimuths taken
from each
crater.
- There was only one radar acquisition from the area
before the mortar attack on Krivenik. This radar track
occurred
on 25 Mar 01. The radar was in position near Kacanik
from 25 – 26
Mar 01, then returned to Camp Bondsteel to prepare
for a follow-on mission.
- Types of Analysis.
- High-Angle Shell Crater Analysis. In a typical
high-angle mortar crater, the turf at the forward
edge (the direction
away from the hostile mortar) is undercut. The
rear edge of the crater is shorn of vegetation and
grooved
by splinters.
When fresh, the crater is covered with loose earth,
which must
be carefully removed to disclose the firm, burnt
inner crater. The ground surrounding the crater is
streaked
by splinter grooves
that radiate from the point of detonation. The
ends of the splinter grooves on the rearward side
are on an
approximately
straight line. This line is perpendicular to the
horizontal trajectory of the round. A fuse tunnel
is caused by
the fuse
burying itself at the bottom of the inner crater
in front of the point of detonation. Three methods
may be
used to
determine
direction from a high-angle mortar shell crater—main
axis, splinter groove, and fuse tunnel.
- Shell Fragment Analysis. Identification by
weapon type and caliber may be determined from shell
fragments found
in shell craters. Dimensions of the parts, as well as
those of
the complete shell, vary according to the caliber and
type of shell.
- Tail Fins. A mortar can be identified from
the tail fins. Tail fins often are found in the fuse
tunnel of the
crater.
A mortar that is not fin-stabilized may be identified
from the pieces of the projectile on which the rifling
is imprinted.
- Fuses. The same type of fuse may be used with
several different calibers or types of projectiles.
It is impossible
to establish the type and caliber of a weapon by examining
the fuse.
- Analysis of Individual Craters.
- Crater #1. This crater was located at grid
EM 2288 6244. Using the Splinter Groove Method, the
CAT determined
that the
direction of fire was on an azimuth of 4400 mils
or 248 degrees. The crater was in a wooded area with
signs
of damaged
tree
limbs. The crater was also on sloped terrain; this
would have affected the crater analysis. An MNB-E
soldier retrieved
a
120mm mortar tail fin from this site. The tail
fin is marked with #K9407 23186 TK BK on the top
and MK,
M74 and KB9505
on the bottom.
- Crater #2. This crater was located at grid
EM 2286 6242. Using the Main Axis Method, the CAT
determined the
direction
of fire was on an azimuth of 3860 mils or 217 degrees.
- Crater #3. This crater was located at grid
EM 2267 6233, near the “old” school and
mosque. Using the Main Axis Method, the CAT determined
the direction
of fire was on
an azimuth of 3860 mils or 218 degrees. There were
no crater fragments found at the time the crater
analysis
was done.
At 1930, 29 Mar 01, the CAT retrieved several pieces
of apparent 120mm shrapnel from around the site.
- Crater #4. This crater was located approximately
one and a half meters from a house at grid EM 2246
6254. An eyewitness
says he saw the round as it came in and impacted
next to his
house. The direction he pointed to is on an azimuth
of 3080 mils or 217 degrees. There was evidence of
broken tree
limbs
on that gun target line. This would alter the effects
on the ground.
- Crater #5. This crater was located in a garden
at grid EM 2245 6259 approximately 75 meters from
Crater #4. Using
the Main Axis Method, the CAT determined the direction
of fire was on an azimuth of 3060 mils or 172 degrees.
- Crater #6. This crater was located at grid
EM 2292 6235. Using the Main Axis Method, the CAT
determined the
direction
of fire was on an azimuth of 4180 mils or 235 degrees.
There were fragments of a fuse from a 120mm mortar
found close to
the crater.
- Crater #7. This crater was found 20 meters
from the “new” school
at grid EM 2282 6261. Using the Main Axis Method, the
CAT determined the direction of fire was on an azimuth
of 3700
mils or 208
degrees.
- Crater #8. This crater was located at grid
EM 23633 61752. Using the Fuse Tunnel Method, the
CAT determined the
direction
of fire was on an azimuth of 3050 mils or 173 degrees.
The CAT found a fuse tail fin in the crater from a
120mm mortar
with markings MK, M74 and KB9402 on the bottom. The
mortar round looked like it hit the base of a bush
and spread
shrapnel that hit trees nearby. In addition, approximately
75 meters
west of this location, shrapnel markings and broken
limbs on trees indicated a mortar round detonated
near grid EM
23557
61752. The CAT could not find a crater.
- Crater #9. This crater was located at grid
EM 23689 61324.
- Using the Fuse Tunnel Method, the CAT determined
the direction of fire was on an azimuth of 3340
mils or 187 degrees.
The
CAT found a fuse tail fin in the crater from
a 120mm mortar with markings KB9407 23186 TK
BK on the topside
of the
tail fin and MK, M74 and KB9505 on the bottom of
it. The mortar
round looked like it hit the base of a bush and
spread shrapnel that hit trees nearby.
- Approximately 75 meters to the east of
Crater #9 at grid EM 23723 61333, the POLUKRBAT
showed the CAT what appeared
to be a mortar firing position. The location had
a hole approximately
5 inches wide and 4 inches deep and what appeared
to be impressions on the ground from a mortar
bipod. The CAT could
not determine
the orientation of the weapon and did not find any
residue.
- The CAT found evidence of three more mortar strikes
in or near Krivenik that left no crater.
- The CAT found an impact area to the east at
EM 2279 6230. Evidence indicated an impact had occurred,
but there
was no
sign of a crater, only burned bushes and loose
dirt
in the area. The CAT did not conduct a crater analysis
because
of
inconclusive evidence.
- Krivenik residents showed the CAT a mortar
impact site on a side slope of a road located at
grid EM 2259 6248.
There was evidence of an impact, but civilians moving
the rock and
dirt fragments away from the road contaminated the
site and prevented the CAT from performing a crater
analysis.
- Krivenik residents also led the CAT to a house
that was severely damaged by a mortar round at grid
EM 2261 6252.
The
evidence at the house appeared to show the round
hit a fence made of stone and clay shingles. The
round exploded,
causing
damage to a tree in the yard and severe damage to
the second story of the house. The CAT could not
perform a crater
analysis.
- Intelligence Analysis.
- In the days preceding 29 March, the ARM was heavily
engaged in operations against the so-called NLA forces
along the former
Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia border with Kosovo
in the Krivenik - Gracani axis area. The ARM was primarily
conducting
clearing
operations in the towns of Gracani and Caska and
search and destroy operations against NLA camps in the
border area.
- The NLA was primarily attempting to defend areas
it deemed key to its supply routes and safe-areas, while
at
the same
time infiltrating, equipping, and training new NLA
recruits from Kosovo. Starting in mid-March, the ARM
began to fight
with better coordination and harder than expected.
In response, the NLA began to gradually filter back to
its camps straddling
the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia border with
Kosovo. Regular mortar exchanges occurred between the
ARM and NLA,
at times becoming heavy. Heavier KFOR patrols and interdiction
efforts along the border hindered the NLA’s usual
practice of slipping north across the border into Kosovo
when it needed
a safe area. The NLA has increasingly had to use a
strip approximately one kilometer on either side of
the border.
This area is the
buffer zone KFOR and former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia
forces (military and police) try to keep between themselves
to avoid friendly fire casualties. Due to the success
of both KFOR interdiction and anti-insurgency operations
by
former
Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia forces, elements of
the NLA leadership broadcasted a message threatening
retaliation/revenge
attacks against KFOR elements serving along the border
or against
forces serving at the Blace border crossing point.
- On the night of 28-29 March, former Yugoslav Republic
of Macedonia forces began a heavy attack against NLA
forces in
Gracani, to include the use of armed helicopters and
tanks. NLA insurgents were observed leaving the town
and withdrawing
towards the Kosovo border. Intelligence reported the
ARM was planning to fire artillery or mortars along the
border
early
on the morning of 29 March. While the ARM has fired
close to the border in the past, there are no known instances
where
the ARM has purposefully fired across the border at
NLA troops
or positions, even when these forces were clearly visible
in open fields, valleys, or ridges.
- Mortars. Both sides use similar mortars.
- The NLA has used a classic insurgent method
of using one or two tubes at a time to fire a few
rounds
from positions
close to the target, then shifting firing position
to fire a few more. This type of fire mission may
last for only
a few
rounds in a short period, or last over many hours.
The only pattern is the lack of a discernable pattern
in their
fire
missions.
- The ARM uses a combination of former Warsaw
Pact/Yugoslav Army tactics, techniques, and procedures,
with an increasingly
western style of fire direction and command and control.
The ARM favors heavy mortars in their northern territory
over conventional
artillery due to the ruggedness of the terrain and
the relative cheapness of mortar fire vice artillery.
- It is difficult to directly assess the training
and expertise of mortar crews from both sides. Generally,
the
crews have
been firing for long enough to become proficient
in the use of their particular type of weapon in
the terrain along
the
common border. ARM mortar crews have a more traditional
type of military-style training in the use of mortars,
but may not
have long-term experience. NLA crews may lack the
technical training, but have months, if not years,
of experience.
Reports indicate both ARM and NLA crews generally hit
what they are
shooting at. Observers in the ARM are also more traditionally
trained, but lack much of the support equipment Western
crews have, such as laser range finders, sophisticated
optics, and
computers. ARM observers are generally proficient
using close line of sight and basic optics observation
with FM
radios and
landlines. NLA observers tend to be experienced,
but usually rely on handheld radios and cellular
phones.
- Ammunition. The ARM primarily uses mortar ammunition
and fuses from Russia, Yugoslavia (Serbia), Bulgaria,
and Ukraine.
The NLA uses ammunition and fuses from diverse sources.
They steal, capture, purchase, or receive ammunition
and fuses from
all of the above sources, as well as pilfered KFOR
stocks and supplies donated from around the world by
sympathetic
organizations.
Both sides, but mainly the NLA, still use old Yugoslav
Army (VJ) stocks left behind when the VJ left the former
Yugoslav
Republic of Macedonia and Kosovo, or which were otherwise
acquired.
- Line of Sight (LOS) Analysis.
- LOS analysis of the suspected ARM observation
point (EM 2235 6020) shows observers would have no
view of
the valley
in which Krivenik lies. Observers at this OP can
see all known or suspected NLA positions in the former
Yugoslav
Republic
of Macedonia.
- The suspected OP at EM 2257 6215 south of Krivenik
has a LOS view of the area where rounds impacted to
the east and
west of the village. Direct LOS to the town square
(mosque) is limited to the top of the building and
minaret.
- Specific Findings of Fact.
- The attack occurred on 29 March 2001 between 0900 – 1230.
- On 29 March and the week leading up to 29 March,
ARM and NLA forces had engaged in mortar attacks against
each
other
south of Krivenik between the border and the areas
around Gracani and Caska in the former Yugoslav Republic
of Macedonia.
- Between 0900 – 1300, seven volleys of 2 -
3 mortar rounds each were fired in, near, or in the direction
of
Krivenik on the Kosovo side of the border.
- Of these seven volleys, between 13 – 19 mortar
rounds, landed in or on the outskirts of Krivenik. The
last four volleys
of mortar rounds landed in or near Krivenik between
1130 and 1215.
- Following the attack on Krivenik, MNB-E forces located
the impact sites of 12 mortar rounds in or near Krivenik.
Nine of these impact sites were suitable for crater analysis.
- Analysis of these crater sites indicated the mortar
rounds were fired from at least two locations – south
to southeast of Krivenik and southwest of Krivenik. The
crater analysis
and the 5.4 km maximum range of 120mm mortars further
indicate the mortars could have been fired from either
the Kosovo
or the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia sides of
the border,
and from locations where both ARM and NLA forces were
known or suspected to be operating.
- Witnesses in Krivenik on 29 March heard mortars
being fired from at least one mortar tube immediately
before a
volley of
four mortar rounds struck in and on the outskirts of
Krivenik.
- Only 120mm mortar rounds were fired in or near Krivenik.
No evidence was found to indicate any other kind of
mortar was fired at Krivenik on 29 March.
- MNB-E patrols and OPs observed suspected NLA forces
operating between Krivenik and the Kosovo border with
the former Yugoslav
Republic of Macedonia during the morning before the
mortar attack on Krivenik.
- MNB-E forces saw unidentified forces during the
morning of the mortar attack south of Krivenik with five
artillery
pieces firing south towards the former Yugoslav Republic
of Macedonia.
- MNB-E forces received mortar fire the morning of
the Krivenik mortar attack when they moved south from
Krivenik
to investigate
suspected NLA activity.
- ARM forces knew MNB-E forces were located in and
near Krivenik on 29 March.
- ARM forces promised the MNB-E LNO they would not
fire mortar or artillery rounds north of the EM 606 grid
line
or Hill 802
(EM 235 606).
- The only known ARM OP south of Krivenik did not
provide line of sight observation of Krivenik or its
immediate
vicinity.
- Both ARM and NLA forces are known to possess 120mm
mortars.
- After the Krivenik attack, MNB-E forces found mortar
fins and fuse fragments with identification numbers on
them. The
mortar rounds came from Slovenia.
- Presently, there is insufficient evidence to confidently
suggest who attacked Krivenik on 29 March. Either ARM
or NLA forces, or both, could have conducted the attack
on Krivenik.
More information is needed from ARM forces and, if
possible, NLA forces, to determine who fired the mortars
that landed
in Krivenik on 29 March.
- Turkey recognises the Republic of Macedonia with its constitutional
name.

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